Derivatives Week 20-24/12/2021: Cash flow is weakening

 Futures contracts simultaneously increased in the session on December 17, 2021. The contract Basis VN30F2201 expanded and reached a value of 6.44 points. This shows that investors are more optimistic about the prospect of VN30-Index.





I. STOCK MARKET INDEX FUTURE CONTRACT

I.1. Market movements

Futures contracts simultaneously increased in the session on December 17, 2021. VN30F2201 (F2201) increased by 0.46%, reaching 1,520 points; VN30F2202 (F2202) increased by 0.48%, reaching 1,516 points; contract VN30F2203 (F2203) increased by 1.18%, reaching 1,519 points; contract VN30F2206 (F2206) increased by 0.72%, to 1,517 points. Currently, the base VN30-Index is at 1,513.56 points.





The transaction value of the derivatives market decreased by 9.53% compared to the session on December 16, 2021. For the whole week, the transaction value decreased by 15.28% compared to the previous week. Foreign investors returned to net buying after 5 consecutive net selling sessions with the total net buying volume in the last session of the week reaching 2,855 contracts.



The F2201 contract has had a volatile week. Following the trend of last week, F2201 continued to decline in the first session of the week and this decrease was maintained for the next 3 sessions. However, the return of buyers in Friday's session helped the F2201 contract back above the reference level at the close of the trading week.



I.2. Valuation of futures contracts

Based on the fair valuation method with the starting date of December 20, 2021, the fair price bracket of the futures contracts being traded on the market is shown as follows:



Note: The opportunity cost in the pricing model is adjusted to suit the Vietnamese market. Specifically, the risk-free bill interest rate (Government bill) will be replaced by the average deposit interest rate of large banks with term adjustment suitable for each type of futures contract.

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